What Are the Odds – Huge Ace-King Suited
January 12th, 2011 at 7:21
Each list of texas holdem commencing hands has Huge Slick suited (Ace-Kings in poker shorthand) near the top. It’s a quite powerful commencing hand, and one that shows a profit over time if played well. Except, it truly is not a produced hand by itself, and can’t be treated like one.
Let’s look at a number of of the odds involving Ace-Kings prior to the flop.
Towards any pair, even a lowly pair of twos, Major Slick at greatest a coin flip. Sometimes it is a slight underdog because if you do not create a hand using the board cards, Ace high will lose to a pair.
In opposition to hands like Aq or King-Queen where you’ve got the higher of the cards in the opposing hand "covered", Ace-Kings is roughly a seven to three favorite. That’s about as good as it gets pre-flop with this hand. It’s as good as taking Ace-Kings up versus 72 offsuit.
In opposition to a greater hand, say Jack-Ten suited, your odds are roughly six to four in your favor. Far better than a coin flip, but perhaps not as a great deal of a favorite as you would think.
When the flop lands, the value of your hand will most likely be created clear. In case you land the major pair on the board, you have a major advantage with a top rated pair/top kicker situation. You’ll frequently win bets put in by players with the same pair, except a lesser kicker.
You’ll also beat very good starting hands like Qq, and Jack-Jack if they tend not to flop their 3-of-a-kind. Not to mention that when you flop a flush or even a flush draw, you are going to be drawing to the nut, or best achievable flush. These are all things that produce AKs such a nice commencing hand to have.
Except what if the flop comes, and misses you. You are going to still have two overcards (cards higher than any of individuals about the board). What are your chances now for catching an Ace or a King around the turn or the river and salvaging your hand? Obviously this only works if a pair is able to salvage the hand and will be good sufficient to win the pot.
If the Ace or King you would like to see show within the board doesn’t also fill in someone else’s straight or flush draw, you would have six cards (three outstanding Kings and 3 remaining Aces) that will give you the leading pair.
With those 6 outs, the likelihood of landing your card within the turn are roughly one in 8, so if you’re planning on throwing money into the pot to chase it, look for at least seven dollars in there for each one dollar you are willing to bet to keep the pot odds even. Those likelihood will not change very much within the river.
While betting poker by the likelihood does not guarantee that you will succeed just about every hand, or even just about every session, not knowing the likelihood can be a dangerous circumstance for anyone at the poker table that’s thinking of risking their money in a pot.